Marssenger Kitchenware (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.93
| 300894 Stock | 16.47 0.17 1.02% |
Marssenger |
Marssenger Kitchenware Target Price Odds to finish below 10.93
The tendency of Marssenger Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 10.93 or more in 90 days |
| 16.47 | 90 days | 10.93 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marssenger Kitchenware to drop to 10.93 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Marssenger Kitchenware Co probability density function shows the probability of Marssenger Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marssenger Kitchenware price to stay between 10.93 and its current price of 16.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Marssenger Kitchenware has a beta of 0.36. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Marssenger Kitchenware average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Marssenger Kitchenware Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Marssenger Kitchenware Co has an alpha of 0.6721, implying that it can generate a 0.67 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Marssenger Kitchenware Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Marssenger Kitchenware
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marssenger Kitchenware. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Marssenger Kitchenware Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marssenger Kitchenware is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marssenger Kitchenware's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marssenger Kitchenware Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marssenger Kitchenware within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Marssenger Kitchenware Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marssenger Kitchenware for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marssenger Kitchenware can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Marssenger Kitchenware appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Marssenger Kitchenware is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Marssenger Kitchenware Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively - Simply Wall St |
Marssenger Kitchenware Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marssenger Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marssenger Kitchenware's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marssenger Kitchenware's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 408.8 M |
Marssenger Kitchenware Technical Analysis
Marssenger Kitchenware's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marssenger Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marssenger Kitchenware Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marssenger Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Marssenger Kitchenware Predictive Forecast Models
Marssenger Kitchenware's time-series forecasting models is one of many Marssenger Kitchenware's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marssenger Kitchenware's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Marssenger Kitchenware
Checking the ongoing alerts about Marssenger Kitchenware for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marssenger Kitchenware help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Marssenger Kitchenware appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Marssenger Kitchenware is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Marssenger Kitchenware Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Marssenger Stock
Marssenger Kitchenware financial ratios help investors to determine whether Marssenger Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Marssenger with respect to the benefits of owning Marssenger Kitchenware security.