Marssenger Kitchenware Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

300894 Stock   15.38  0.18  1.18%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Marssenger Kitchenware Co on the next trading day is expected to be 14.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.93. Marssenger Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Marssenger Kitchenware stock prices and determine the direction of Marssenger Kitchenware Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Marssenger Kitchenware's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Marssenger Kitchenware's Other Current Liabilities is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Accounts Payable is expected to grow to about 404 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 2.7 B.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Marssenger Kitchenware is based on an artificially constructed time series of Marssenger Kitchenware daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Marssenger Kitchenware 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Marssenger Kitchenware Co on the next trading day is expected to be 14.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81, mean absolute percentage error of 1.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.93.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Marssenger Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Marssenger Kitchenware's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Marssenger Kitchenware Stock Forecast Pattern

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Marssenger Kitchenware Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Marssenger Kitchenware's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Marssenger Kitchenware's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.13 and 19.44, respectively. We have considered Marssenger Kitchenware's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.38
14.78
Expected Value
19.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Marssenger Kitchenware stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Marssenger Kitchenware stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.6327
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.3327
MADMean absolute deviation0.8099
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.056
SAESum of the absolute errors42.9263
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Marssenger Kitchenware Co 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Marssenger Kitchenware

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marssenger Kitchenware. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4615.1119.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.0614.7119.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.0314.7315.43
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.190.210.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Marssenger Kitchenware. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Marssenger Kitchenware's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Marssenger Kitchenware's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Marssenger Kitchenware.

Other Forecasting Options for Marssenger Kitchenware

For every potential investor in Marssenger, whether a beginner or expert, Marssenger Kitchenware's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Marssenger Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Marssenger. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Marssenger Kitchenware's price trends.

Marssenger Kitchenware Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Marssenger Kitchenware stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Marssenger Kitchenware could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marssenger Kitchenware by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Marssenger Kitchenware Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Marssenger Kitchenware's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Marssenger Kitchenware's current price.

Marssenger Kitchenware Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Marssenger Kitchenware stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Marssenger Kitchenware shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Marssenger Kitchenware stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Marssenger Kitchenware Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Marssenger Kitchenware Risk Indicators

The analysis of Marssenger Kitchenware's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Marssenger Kitchenware's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting marssenger stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Marssenger Stock

Marssenger Kitchenware financial ratios help investors to determine whether Marssenger Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Marssenger with respect to the benefits of owning Marssenger Kitchenware security.