IA FINANCIAL (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 79.00

1OD Stock  EUR 79.00  0.50  0.63%   
IA FINANCIAL's future price is the expected price of IA FINANCIAL instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of IA FINANCIAL P performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out IA FINANCIAL Backtesting, IA FINANCIAL Valuation, IA FINANCIAL Correlation, IA FINANCIAL Hype Analysis, IA FINANCIAL Volatility, IA FINANCIAL History as well as IA FINANCIAL Performance.
  
Please specify IA FINANCIAL's target price for which you would like IA FINANCIAL odds to be computed.

IA FINANCIAL Target Price Odds to finish over 79.00

The tendency of 1OD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 79.00 90 days 79.00 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IA FINANCIAL to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This IA FINANCIAL P probability density function shows the probability of 1OD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon IA FINANCIAL has a beta of 0.31. This suggests as returns on the market go up, IA FINANCIAL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding IA FINANCIAL P will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally IA FINANCIAL P has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   IA FINANCIAL Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IA FINANCIAL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IA FINANCIAL P. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.0279.0080.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.3866.3686.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
73.2875.2677.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
73.2581.6790.10
Details

IA FINANCIAL Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IA FINANCIAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IA FINANCIAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IA FINANCIAL P, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IA FINANCIAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
2.76
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

IA FINANCIAL Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IA FINANCIAL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IA FINANCIAL P can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IA FINANCIAL P generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

IA FINANCIAL Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 1OD Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IA FINANCIAL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IA FINANCIAL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

IA FINANCIAL Technical Analysis

IA FINANCIAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 1OD Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IA FINANCIAL P. In general, you should focus on analyzing 1OD Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IA FINANCIAL Predictive Forecast Models

IA FINANCIAL's time-series forecasting models is one of many IA FINANCIAL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IA FINANCIAL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about IA FINANCIAL P

Checking the ongoing alerts about IA FINANCIAL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IA FINANCIAL P help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IA FINANCIAL P generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 1OD Stock

IA FINANCIAL financial ratios help investors to determine whether 1OD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 1OD with respect to the benefits of owning IA FINANCIAL security.