Howden Joinery (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.92
| 10J Stock | EUR 9.57 0.10 1.03% |
Howden |
Howden Joinery Target Price Odds to finish over 10.92
The tendency of Howden Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 10.92 or more in 90 days |
| 9.57 | 90 days | 10.92 | about 11.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Howden Joinery to move over € 10.92 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.04 (This Howden Joinery Group probability density function shows the probability of Howden Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Howden Joinery Group price to stay between its current price of € 9.57 and € 10.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.66 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Howden Joinery has a beta of 0.42. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Howden Joinery average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Howden Joinery Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Howden Joinery Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Howden Joinery Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Howden Joinery
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Howden Joinery Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Howden Joinery Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Howden Joinery is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Howden Joinery's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Howden Joinery Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Howden Joinery within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Howden Joinery Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Howden Joinery for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Howden Joinery Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Howden Joinery Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Howden Joinery Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Howden Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Howden Joinery's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Howden Joinery's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 555.7 M |
Howden Joinery Technical Analysis
Howden Joinery's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Howden Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Howden Joinery Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Howden Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Howden Joinery Predictive Forecast Models
Howden Joinery's time-series forecasting models is one of many Howden Joinery's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Howden Joinery's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Howden Joinery Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Howden Joinery for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Howden Joinery Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Howden Joinery Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Other Information on Investing in Howden Stock
Howden Joinery financial ratios help investors to determine whether Howden Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Howden with respect to the benefits of owning Howden Joinery security.