Howden Joinery (Germany) Market Value
| 10J Stock | EUR 8.72 0.07 0.81% |
| Symbol | Howden |
Howden Joinery 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Howden Joinery's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Howden Joinery.
| 12/14/2024 |
| 03/14/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Howden Joinery on December 14, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Howden Joinery Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Howden Joinery over 90 days. Howden Joinery is related to or competes with Mitsui Chemicals, Games Workshop, AIR PRODCHEMICALS, Silicon Motion, Sekisui Chemical, CHEMICAL INDUSTRIES, and INDO-RAMA SYNTHETIC. Howden Joinery Group Plc engages in the manufacture, sourcing, sale, and distribution of kitchens and joinery products i... More
Howden Joinery Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Howden Joinery's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Howden Joinery Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.48 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.28 |
Howden Joinery Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Howden Joinery's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Howden Joinery's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Howden Joinery historical prices to predict the future Howden Joinery's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.11) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.16) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0515 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.49) |
Howden Joinery Group Backtested Returns
Howden Joinery Group holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.12, which attests that the entity had a -0.12 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Howden Joinery Group exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Howden Joinery's Standard Deviation of 1.66, risk adjusted performance of (0.11), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.48) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.47, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Howden Joinery's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Howden Joinery is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Howden Joinery Group has a negative expected return of -0.21%. Please make sure to check out Howden Joinery's treynor ratio, skewness, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and potential upside , to decide if Howden Joinery Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.45 |
Modest reverse predictability
Howden Joinery Group has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Howden Joinery time series from 14th of December 2024 to 28th of January 2025 and 28th of January 2025 to 14th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Howden Joinery Group price movement. The serial correlation of -0.45 indicates that just about 45.0% of current Howden Joinery price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.45 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.41 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.12 |
Howden Joinery Group lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Howden Joinery stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Howden Joinery's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Howden Joinery returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Howden Joinery has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Howden Joinery regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Howden Joinery stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Howden Joinery stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Howden Joinery stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Howden Joinery Lagged Returns
When evaluating Howden Joinery's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Howden Joinery stock have on its future price. Howden Joinery autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Howden Joinery autocorrelation shows the relationship between Howden Joinery stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Howden Joinery Group.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Howden Stock
Howden Joinery financial ratios help investors to determine whether Howden Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Howden with respect to the benefits of owning Howden Joinery security.