CSIF III (Switzerland) Odds of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 2180.36

0P0000YXR6   2,180  8.59  0.39%   
CSIF III's future price is the expected price of CSIF III instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CSIF III Equity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
Please specify CSIF III's target price for which you would like CSIF III odds to be computed.

CSIF III Target Price Odds to finish over 2180.36

The tendency of CSIF Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2,180 90 days 2,180 
about 87.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CSIF III to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 87.32 (This CSIF III Equity probability density function shows the probability of CSIF Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CSIF III has a beta of 0.0528. This suggests as returns on the market go up, CSIF III average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CSIF III Equity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CSIF III Equity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CSIF III Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CSIF III

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CSIF III Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

CSIF III Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CSIF III is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CSIF III's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CSIF III Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CSIF III within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0065
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
29.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

CSIF III Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CSIF III for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CSIF III Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CSIF III Equity generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

CSIF III Technical Analysis

CSIF III's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CSIF Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CSIF III Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing CSIF Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CSIF III Predictive Forecast Models

CSIF III's time-series forecasting models is one of many CSIF III's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CSIF III's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CSIF III Equity

Checking the ongoing alerts about CSIF III for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CSIF III Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CSIF III Equity generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges