CSIF III (Switzerland) Volatility
| 0P0000YXR6 | 2,180 8.59 0.39% |
CSIF III Equity secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.028, which signifies that the fund had a -0.028% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. CSIF III Equity exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm CSIF III's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0025, mean deviation of 0.3662, and Semi Deviation of 0.4342 to double-check the risk estimate we provide.
CSIF |
CSIF III Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of CSIF daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use CSIF's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of CSIF III volatility.
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with CSIF III. They may decide to buy additional shares of CSIF III at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Moving together with CSIF Fund
| 0.92 | 0P0001EDRM | CSIF III Eq | PairCorr |
| 0.93 | 0P0000YXR4 | CSIF III Equity | PairCorr |
CSIF III Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
CSIF III's beta coefficient measures the volatility of CSIF fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents CSIF fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, CSIF III's beta of 0.0528 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk CSIF III fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. CSIF III Equity exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.42 and kurtosis of 3.16. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure CSIF III's fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact CSIF III's fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze CSIF III Equity Demand TrendCheck current 90 days CSIF III correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)CSIF Beta |
CSIF standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.5 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by CSIF III's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of CSIF III's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in csif fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in CSIF III.
CSIF III Equity Fund Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which CSIF III fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with CSIF III's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of CSIF III's fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of CSIF III's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of fund volatility measures CSIF III's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict CSIF III's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the fund.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for CSIF III's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on CSIF III's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. CSIF III Equity Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
CSIF III Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CSIF III has a beta of 0.0528 . This suggests as returns on the market go up, CSIF III average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CSIF III Equity will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to CSIF III or CSIF sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that CSIF III's price will be affected by overall fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a CSIF fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
CSIF III Equity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a CSIF III Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.CSIF III Fund Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of CSIF III is -3568.37. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.25 and standard deviation of 0.5. The mean deviation of CSIF III Equity is currently at 0.36. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.8
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0065 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
CSIF III Fund Return Volatility
CSIF III historical daily return volatility represents how much of CSIF III fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund accepts 0.4972% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8089% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
CSIF III Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.81 and is 1.62 times more volatile than CSIF III Equity. 4 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than CSIF III. You can use CSIF III Equity to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The fund experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of CSIF III to be traded at 2158.56 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between CSIF III Equity and DJI is 0.08 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding CSIF III Equity and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
CSIF III Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of CSIF III's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CSIF III's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of CSIF III fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0025 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.3662 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.4342 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.4595 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 9412.32 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5003 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
CSIF III Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against CSIF III as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. CSIF III's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, CSIF III's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to CSIF III Equity.
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