Daou Technology (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18780.00

023590 Stock   18,780  500.00  2.74%   
Daou Technology's future price is the expected price of Daou Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Daou Technology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Daou Technology Backtesting, Daou Technology Valuation, Daou Technology Correlation, Daou Technology Hype Analysis, Daou Technology Volatility, Daou Technology History as well as Daou Technology Performance.
  
Please specify Daou Technology's target price for which you would like Daou Technology odds to be computed.

Daou Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 18780.00

The tendency of Daou Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 18,780 90 days 18,780 
roughly 2.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Daou Technology to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.98 (This Daou Technology probability density function shows the probability of Daou Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Daou Technology has a beta of -0.0579. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Daou Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Daou Technology is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Daou Technology has an alpha of 0.0478, implying that it can generate a 0.0478 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Daou Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Daou Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Daou Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18,77918,78018,781
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15,46815,46920,658
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18,87018,87018,871
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18,00018,33718,674
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Daou Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Daou Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Daou Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Daou Technology.

Daou Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Daou Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Daou Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Daou Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Daou Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
341.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Daou Technology Technical Analysis

Daou Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Daou Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Daou Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Daou Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Daou Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Daou Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Daou Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Daou Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Daou Technology in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Daou Technology's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Daou Technology options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Daou Stock

Daou Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Daou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Daou with respect to the benefits of owning Daou Technology security.