Yankershop Food (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 51.3

002847 Stock   59.82  5.44  10.00%   
Yankershop Food's future price is the expected price of Yankershop Food instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Yankershop Food Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Yankershop Food Backtesting, Yankershop Food Valuation, Yankershop Food Correlation, Yankershop Food Hype Analysis, Yankershop Food Volatility, Yankershop Food History as well as Yankershop Food Performance.
  
Please specify Yankershop Food's target price for which you would like Yankershop Food odds to be computed.

Yankershop Food Target Price Odds to finish below 51.3

The tendency of Yankershop Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  51.30  or more in 90 days
 59.82 90 days 51.30 
about 44.16
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yankershop Food to drop to  51.30  or more in 90 days from now is about 44.16 (This Yankershop Food Co probability density function shows the probability of Yankershop Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yankershop Food price to stay between  51.30  and its current price of 59.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.75 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.02 . This suggests Yankershop Food Co market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Yankershop Food is expected to follow. Additionally Yankershop Food Co has an alpha of 0.6023, implying that it can generate a 0.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Yankershop Food Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Yankershop Food

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yankershop Food. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
57.6260.8564.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.8465.6868.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
58.9362.1665.39
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.580.610.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Yankershop Food. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Yankershop Food's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Yankershop Food's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Yankershop Food.

Yankershop Food Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yankershop Food is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yankershop Food's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yankershop Food Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yankershop Food within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.60
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.02
σ
Overall volatility
4.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

Yankershop Food Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yankershop Food for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yankershop Food can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yankershop Food appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Three Stocks Estimated To Be Trading Below Fair Value In December 2024 - Simply Wall St

Yankershop Food Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yankershop Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yankershop Food's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yankershop Food's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding193.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments310.4 M

Yankershop Food Technical Analysis

Yankershop Food's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yankershop Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yankershop Food Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yankershop Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Yankershop Food Predictive Forecast Models

Yankershop Food's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yankershop Food's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yankershop Food's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Yankershop Food

Checking the ongoing alerts about Yankershop Food for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yankershop Food help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yankershop Food appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Three Stocks Estimated To Be Trading Below Fair Value In December 2024 - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Yankershop Stock

Yankershop Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yankershop Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yankershop with respect to the benefits of owning Yankershop Food security.