Yankershop Food Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

002847 Stock   59.82  5.44  10.00%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Yankershop Food Co on the next trading day is expected to be 57.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 104.58. Yankershop Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Yankershop Food stock prices and determine the direction of Yankershop Food Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Yankershop Food's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Yankershop Food's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 1.4 B, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 304.9 M.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Yankershop Food Co is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Yankershop Food 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Yankershop Food Co on the next trading day is expected to be 57.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.83, mean absolute percentage error of 6.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 104.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Yankershop Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Yankershop Food's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Yankershop Food Stock Forecast Pattern

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Yankershop Food Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Yankershop Food's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Yankershop Food's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 54.01 and 60.43, respectively. We have considered Yankershop Food's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
59.82
57.22
Expected Value
60.43
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Yankershop Food stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Yankershop Food stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.6021
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.6109
MADMean absolute deviation1.8348
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0338
SAESum of the absolute errors104.5825
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Yankershop Food. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Yankershop Food Co and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Yankershop Food

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yankershop Food. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
57.6260.8564.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.8465.6868.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
48.8453.6158.37
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.580.610.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Yankershop Food. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Yankershop Food's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Yankershop Food's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Yankershop Food.

Other Forecasting Options for Yankershop Food

For every potential investor in Yankershop, whether a beginner or expert, Yankershop Food's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Yankershop Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Yankershop. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Yankershop Food's price trends.

Yankershop Food Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Yankershop Food stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Yankershop Food could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Yankershop Food by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Yankershop Food Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Yankershop Food's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Yankershop Food's current price.

Yankershop Food Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Yankershop Food stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Yankershop Food shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Yankershop Food stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Yankershop Food Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Yankershop Food Risk Indicators

The analysis of Yankershop Food's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Yankershop Food's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yankershop stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Yankershop Stock

Yankershop Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yankershop Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yankershop with respect to the benefits of owning Yankershop Food security.