CHINA SOUTHN Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ZNHH Stock | 0.52 0.01 1.96% |
CHINA |
CHINA SOUTHN Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CHINA SOUTHN AIR H on the next trading day is expected to be 0.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CHINA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CHINA SOUTHN's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CHINA SOUTHN Stock Forecast Pattern
CHINA SOUTHN Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CHINA SOUTHN's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CHINA SOUTHN's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.72, respectively. We have considered CHINA SOUTHN's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CHINA SOUTHN stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CHINA SOUTHN stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.9579 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0021 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0122 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0292 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.7464 |
Predictive Modules for CHINA SOUTHN
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CHINA SOUTHN AIR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for CHINA SOUTHN
For every potential investor in CHINA, whether a beginner or expert, CHINA SOUTHN's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CHINA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CHINA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CHINA SOUTHN's price trends.CHINA SOUTHN Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CHINA SOUTHN stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CHINA SOUTHN could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CHINA SOUTHN by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CHINA SOUTHN AIR Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CHINA SOUTHN's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CHINA SOUTHN's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CHINA SOUTHN Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CHINA SOUTHN stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CHINA SOUTHN shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CHINA SOUTHN stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CHINA SOUTHN AIR H entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.52 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.52 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 |
CHINA SOUTHN Risk Indicators
The analysis of CHINA SOUTHN's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CHINA SOUTHN's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting china stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.13 | |||
| Variance | 26.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 24.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.33 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.00) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for CHINA Stock Analysis
When running CHINA SOUTHN's price analysis, check to measure CHINA SOUTHN's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CHINA SOUTHN is operating at the current time. Most of CHINA SOUTHN's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CHINA SOUTHN's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CHINA SOUTHN's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CHINA SOUTHN to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.