YY Group Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

YYGH Stock   1.77  0.02  1.14%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of YY Group Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 1.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.36. YYGH Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of YY Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for YY Group is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of YY Group Holding value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

YY Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of YY Group Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 1.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict YYGH Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that YY Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

YY Group Stock Forecast Pattern

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YY Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting YY Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. YY Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 6.07, respectively. We have considered YY Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.77
1.65
Expected Value
6.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of YY Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent YY Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.4198
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0714
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0476
SAESum of the absolute errors4.3551
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of YY Group Holding. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict YY Group. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for YY Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as YY Group Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.836.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.706.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as YY Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against YY Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, YY Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in YY Group Holding.

Other Forecasting Options for YY Group

For every potential investor in YYGH, whether a beginner or expert, YY Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. YYGH Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in YYGH. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying YY Group's price trends.

YY Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with YY Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of YY Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing YY Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

YY Group Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of YY Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of YY Group's current price.

YY Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how YY Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading YY Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying YY Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify YY Group Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

YY Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of YY Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in YY Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yygh stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether YY Group Holding offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of YY Group's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Yy Group Holding Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Yy Group Holding Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of YY Group to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of YY Group. If investors know YYGH will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about YY Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of YY Group Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of YYGH that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of YY Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is YY Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because YY Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect YY Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between YY Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if YY Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, YY Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.