Seino Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

XSE Stock  EUR 15.30  0.10  0.66%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Seino Holdings Co on the next trading day is expected to be 15.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.86. Seino Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Seino Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Seino Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Seino Holdings Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Seino Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Seino Holdings Co on the next trading day is expected to be 15.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.86.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Seino Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Seino Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Seino Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Seino Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Seino Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Seino Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.11 and 16.70, respectively. We have considered Seino Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.30
15.41
Expected Value
16.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Seino Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Seino Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.2397
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1124
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0077
SAESum of the absolute errors6.8592
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Seino Holdings Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Seino Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Seino Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seino Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.0115.3016.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.7115.0016.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.9614.7615.55
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Seino Holdings

For every potential investor in Seino, whether a beginner or expert, Seino Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Seino Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Seino. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Seino Holdings' price trends.

Seino Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Seino Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Seino Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Seino Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Seino Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Seino Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Seino Holdings' current price.

Seino Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Seino Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Seino Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Seino Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Seino Holdings Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Seino Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Seino Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Seino Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting seino stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Seino Stock

Seino Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Seino Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Seino with respect to the benefits of owning Seino Holdings security.