Wynn Resorts Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

WYR Stock  EUR 84.74  0.39  0.46%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wynn Resorts Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 84.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.69. Wynn Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Wynn Resorts' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Wynn Resorts simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Wynn Resorts Limited are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Wynn Resorts Limited prices get older.

Wynn Resorts Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wynn Resorts Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 84.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.44, mean absolute percentage error of 4.70, and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.69.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wynn Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wynn Resorts' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Wynn Resorts Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Wynn ResortsWynn Resorts Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Wynn Resorts Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Wynn Resorts' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wynn Resorts' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 81.85 and 87.70, respectively. We have considered Wynn Resorts' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
84.74
84.77
Expected Value
87.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wynn Resorts stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wynn Resorts stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.8196
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0932
MADMean absolute deviation1.4448
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0165
SAESum of the absolute errors86.6886
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Wynn Resorts Limited forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Wynn Resorts observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Wynn Resorts

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wynn Resorts Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
81.8284.7487.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
83.1586.0788.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
83.7188.2292.74
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Wynn Resorts

For every potential investor in Wynn, whether a beginner or expert, Wynn Resorts' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wynn Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wynn. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wynn Resorts' price trends.

Wynn Resorts Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wynn Resorts stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wynn Resorts could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wynn Resorts by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Wynn Resorts Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Wynn Resorts' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Wynn Resorts' current price.

Wynn Resorts Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wynn Resorts stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wynn Resorts shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wynn Resorts stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wynn Resorts Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Wynn Resorts Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wynn Resorts' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wynn Resorts' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wynn stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Wynn Stock

When determining whether Wynn Resorts Limited offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Wynn Resorts' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Wynn Resorts Limited Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Wynn Resorts Limited Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wynn Resorts to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wynn Resorts' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wynn Resorts is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wynn Resorts' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.