Wing Yip Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

WYHG Stock   5.70  0.05  0.88%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wing Yip Food on the next trading day is expected to be 5.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.47. Wing Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Wing Yip's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Wing Yip - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Wing Yip prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Wing Yip price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Wing Yip Food.

Wing Yip Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wing Yip Food on the next trading day is expected to be 5.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66, mean absolute percentage error of 1.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wing Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wing Yip's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Wing Yip Stock Forecast Pattern

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Wing Yip Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Wing Yip's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wing Yip's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.06 and 209.81, respectively. We have considered Wing Yip's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.70
5.87
Expected Value
209.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wing Yip stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wing Yip stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2442
MADMean absolute deviation0.6578
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1461
SAESum of the absolute errors14.4709
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Wing Yip observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Wing Yip Food observations.

Predictive Modules for Wing Yip

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wing Yip Food. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.295.83575.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.183.62573.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wing Yip. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wing Yip's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wing Yip's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wing Yip Food.

Other Forecasting Options for Wing Yip

For every potential investor in Wing, whether a beginner or expert, Wing Yip's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wing Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wing. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wing Yip's price trends.

Wing Yip Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wing Yip stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wing Yip could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wing Yip by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Wing Yip Food Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Wing Yip's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Wing Yip's current price.

Wing Yip Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wing Yip stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wing Yip shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wing Yip stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wing Yip Food entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Wing Yip Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wing Yip's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wing Yip's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wing stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Wing Yip Food is a strong investment it is important to analyze Wing Yip's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Wing Yip's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Wing Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wing Yip to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Food Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wing Yip. If investors know Wing will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Wing Yip listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Wing Yip Food is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wing that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wing Yip's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wing Yip's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wing Yip's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wing Yip's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wing Yip's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wing Yip is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wing Yip's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.