Omega Healthcare Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

WX4 Stock  EUR 36.26  0.53  1.44%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Omega Healthcare Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 37.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.26. Omega Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Omega Healthcare's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Omega Healthcare Investors is based on a synthetically constructed Omega Healthcaredaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Omega Healthcare 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Omega Healthcare Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 37.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79, mean absolute percentage error of 0.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.26.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Omega Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Omega Healthcare's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Omega Healthcare Stock Forecast Pattern

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Omega Healthcare Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Omega Healthcare's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Omega Healthcare's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.82 and 39.02, respectively. We have considered Omega Healthcare's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
36.26
37.42
Expected Value
39.02
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Omega Healthcare stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Omega Healthcare stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria81.3093
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0745
MADMean absolute deviation0.7869
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0208
SAESum of the absolute errors32.2615
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Omega Healthcare Inv 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Omega Healthcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Omega Healthcare Inv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.6736.2637.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.7435.3336.92
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Omega Healthcare

For every potential investor in Omega, whether a beginner or expert, Omega Healthcare's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Omega Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Omega. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Omega Healthcare's price trends.

Omega Healthcare Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Omega Healthcare stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Omega Healthcare could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Omega Healthcare by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Omega Healthcare Inv Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Omega Healthcare's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Omega Healthcare's current price.

Omega Healthcare Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Omega Healthcare stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Omega Healthcare shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Omega Healthcare stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Omega Healthcare Investors entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Omega Healthcare Risk Indicators

The analysis of Omega Healthcare's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Omega Healthcare's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting omega stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Omega Stock

When determining whether Omega Healthcare Inv offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Omega Healthcare's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Omega Healthcare Investors Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Omega Healthcare Investors Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Omega Healthcare to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Omega Healthcare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Omega Healthcare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Omega Healthcare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.