WGHT WTCHER Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

WW6 Stock  EUR 1.37  0.09  6.16%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of WGHT WTCHER INTL on the next trading day is expected to be 1.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.50. WGHT Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for WGHT WTCHER INTL is based on a synthetically constructed WGHT WTCHERdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

WGHT WTCHER 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of WGHT WTCHER INTL on the next trading day is expected to be 1.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WGHT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WGHT WTCHER's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

WGHT WTCHER Stock Forecast Pattern

WGHT WTCHER Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting WGHT WTCHER's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. WGHT WTCHER's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 15.04, respectively. We have considered WGHT WTCHER's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.37
1.30
Expected Value
15.04
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WGHT WTCHER stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WGHT WTCHER stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria78.205
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0491
MADMean absolute deviation0.1828
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1604
SAESum of the absolute errors7.4955
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. WGHT WTCHER INTL 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for WGHT WTCHER

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WGHT WTCHER INTL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.3715.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.0714.81
Details

Other Forecasting Options for WGHT WTCHER

For every potential investor in WGHT, whether a beginner or expert, WGHT WTCHER's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WGHT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WGHT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying WGHT WTCHER's price trends.

WGHT WTCHER Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with WGHT WTCHER stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of WGHT WTCHER could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing WGHT WTCHER by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

WGHT WTCHER INTL Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of WGHT WTCHER's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of WGHT WTCHER's current price.

WGHT WTCHER Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WGHT WTCHER stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WGHT WTCHER shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WGHT WTCHER stock market strength indicators, traders can identify WGHT WTCHER INTL entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

WGHT WTCHER Risk Indicators

The analysis of WGHT WTCHER's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WGHT WTCHER's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wght stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for WGHT Stock Analysis

When running WGHT WTCHER's price analysis, check to measure WGHT WTCHER's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy WGHT WTCHER is operating at the current time. Most of WGHT WTCHER's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of WGHT WTCHER's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move WGHT WTCHER's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of WGHT WTCHER to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.