WGHT WTCHER (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.31

WW6 Stock  EUR 1.37  0.09  6.16%   
WGHT WTCHER's future price is the expected price of WGHT WTCHER instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of WGHT WTCHER INTL performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out WGHT WTCHER Backtesting, WGHT WTCHER Valuation, WGHT WTCHER Correlation, WGHT WTCHER Hype Analysis, WGHT WTCHER Volatility, WGHT WTCHER History as well as WGHT WTCHER Performance.
  
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WGHT WTCHER Target Price Odds to finish below 1.31

The tendency of WGHT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 1.31  or more in 90 days
 1.37 90 days 1.31 
about 82.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WGHT WTCHER to drop to € 1.31  or more in 90 days from now is about 82.14 (This WGHT WTCHER INTL probability density function shows the probability of WGHT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of WGHT WTCHER INTL price to stay between € 1.31  and its current price of €1.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon WGHT WTCHER INTL has a beta of -0.0789. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding WGHT WTCHER are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, WGHT WTCHER INTL is likely to outperform the market. Moreover WGHT WTCHER INTL has an alpha of 1.6071, implying that it can generate a 1.61 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   WGHT WTCHER Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for WGHT WTCHER

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WGHT WTCHER INTL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.3715.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.0714.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.3315.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.021.311.59
Details

WGHT WTCHER Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WGHT WTCHER is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WGHT WTCHER's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WGHT WTCHER INTL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WGHT WTCHER within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.61
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

WGHT WTCHER Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WGHT WTCHER for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WGHT WTCHER INTL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WGHT WTCHER INTL is way too risky over 90 days horizon
WGHT WTCHER INTL may become a speculative penny stock
WGHT WTCHER INTL appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

WGHT WTCHER Technical Analysis

WGHT WTCHER's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WGHT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WGHT WTCHER INTL. In general, you should focus on analyzing WGHT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

WGHT WTCHER Predictive Forecast Models

WGHT WTCHER's time-series forecasting models is one of many WGHT WTCHER's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WGHT WTCHER's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about WGHT WTCHER INTL

Checking the ongoing alerts about WGHT WTCHER for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WGHT WTCHER INTL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WGHT WTCHER INTL is way too risky over 90 days horizon
WGHT WTCHER INTL may become a speculative penny stock
WGHT WTCHER INTL appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Additional Tools for WGHT Stock Analysis

When running WGHT WTCHER's price analysis, check to measure WGHT WTCHER's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy WGHT WTCHER is operating at the current time. Most of WGHT WTCHER's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of WGHT WTCHER's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move WGHT WTCHER's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of WGHT WTCHER to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.