WESCO International Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

WP7 Stock  EUR 171.00  1.00  0.59%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of WESCO International on the next trading day is expected to be 170.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 256.00. WESCO Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of WESCO International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for WESCO International is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

WESCO International 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of WESCO International on the next trading day is expected to be 170.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.49, mean absolute percentage error of 38.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 256.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WESCO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WESCO International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

WESCO International Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest WESCO InternationalWESCO International Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

WESCO International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting WESCO International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. WESCO International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 167.35 and 172.65, respectively. We have considered WESCO International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
171.00
167.35
Downside
170.00
Expected Value
172.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WESCO International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WESCO International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.398
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.9534
MADMean absolute deviation4.4913
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0248
SAESum of the absolute errors256.0025
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of WESCO International. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for WESCO International and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for WESCO International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WESCO International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
168.38171.00173.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
153.90191.81194.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
70.09185.89301.69
Details

Other Forecasting Options for WESCO International

For every potential investor in WESCO, whether a beginner or expert, WESCO International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WESCO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WESCO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying WESCO International's price trends.

WESCO International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with WESCO International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of WESCO International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing WESCO International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

WESCO International Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of WESCO International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of WESCO International's current price.

WESCO International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WESCO International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WESCO International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WESCO International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify WESCO International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

WESCO International Risk Indicators

The analysis of WESCO International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WESCO International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wesco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in WESCO Stock

When determining whether WESCO International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of WESCO International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Wesco International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Wesco International Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WESCO International to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in WESCO Stock please use our How to Invest in WESCO International guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Please note, there is a significant difference between WESCO International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if WESCO International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, WESCO International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.