WD 40 Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

WD1 Stock  EUR 230.00  6.00  2.68%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of WD 40 Company on the next trading day is expected to be 226.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 225.05. WD1 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of WD 40's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for WD 40 is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of WD 40 Company value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

WD 40 Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of WD 40 Company on the next trading day is expected to be 226.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.63, mean absolute percentage error of 19.92, and the sum of the absolute errors of 225.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WD1 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WD 40's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

WD 40 Stock Forecast Pattern

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WD 40 Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting WD 40's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. WD 40's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 224.70 and 228.23, respectively. We have considered WD 40's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
230.00
224.70
Downside
226.46
Expected Value
228.23
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WD 40 stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WD 40 stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.9402
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.6298
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0145
SAESum of the absolute errors225.0481
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of WD 40 Company. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict WD 40. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for WD 40

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WD 40 Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
228.29230.00231.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
212.19213.90253.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for WD 40

For every potential investor in WD1, whether a beginner or expert, WD 40's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WD1 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WD1. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying WD 40's price trends.

WD 40 Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with WD 40 stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of WD 40 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing WD 40 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

WD 40 Company Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of WD 40's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of WD 40's current price.

WD 40 Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WD 40 stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WD 40 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WD 40 stock market strength indicators, traders can identify WD 40 Company entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

WD 40 Risk Indicators

The analysis of WD 40's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WD 40's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wd1 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in WD1 Stock

When determining whether WD 40 Company offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of WD 40's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Wd 40 Company Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Wd 40 Company Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WD 40 to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Please note, there is a significant difference between WD 40's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if WD 40 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, WD 40's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.