VOXX INTL-A Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

VOX Stock  EUR 7.10  0.10  1.43%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VOXX INTL A on the next trading day is expected to be 7.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.30. VOXX Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
VOXX INTL-A simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for VOXX INTL A are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as VOXX INTL A prices get older.

VOXX INTL-A Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VOXX INTL A on the next trading day is expected to be 7.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VOXX Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VOXX INTL-A's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

VOXX INTL-A Stock Forecast Pattern

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VOXX INTL-A Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting VOXX INTL-A's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VOXX INTL-A's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.59 and 10.61, respectively. We have considered VOXX INTL-A's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.10
7.10
Expected Value
10.61
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VOXX INTL-A stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VOXX INTL-A stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.4716
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0233
MADMean absolute deviation0.1717
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0248
SAESum of the absolute errors10.3
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting VOXX INTL A forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent VOXX INTL-A observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for VOXX INTL-A

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VOXX INTL A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.527.0510.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.306.8310.36
Details

Other Forecasting Options for VOXX INTL-A

For every potential investor in VOXX, whether a beginner or expert, VOXX INTL-A's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VOXX Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VOXX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VOXX INTL-A's price trends.

VOXX INTL-A Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VOXX INTL-A stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VOXX INTL-A could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VOXX INTL-A by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

VOXX INTL A Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of VOXX INTL-A's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of VOXX INTL-A's current price.

VOXX INTL-A Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VOXX INTL-A stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VOXX INTL-A shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VOXX INTL-A stock market strength indicators, traders can identify VOXX INTL A entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

VOXX INTL-A Risk Indicators

The analysis of VOXX INTL-A's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VOXX INTL-A's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting voxx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for VOXX Stock Analysis

When running VOXX INTL-A's price analysis, check to measure VOXX INTL-A's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VOXX INTL-A is operating at the current time. Most of VOXX INTL-A's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VOXX INTL-A's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VOXX INTL-A's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VOXX INTL-A to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.