Vor Biopharma Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

VOR Stock  USD 1.08  0.03  2.70%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vor Biopharma on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.37. Vor Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Vor Biopharma's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Vor Biopharma's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Vor Biopharma fundamentals over time.
  
As of 03/02/2025, Payables Turnover is likely to grow to 4.05. As of 03/02/2025, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 41 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is likely to grow to about (78.7 M).

Vor Biopharma Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Vor Biopharma's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
36.1 M
Current Value
48.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
33.4 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Vor Biopharma is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Vor Biopharma value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Vor Biopharma Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vor Biopharma on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.37.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vor Biopharma's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vor Biopharma Stock Forecast Pattern

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Vor Biopharma Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vor Biopharma's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vor Biopharma's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 10.85, respectively. We have considered Vor Biopharma's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.08
1.00
Expected Value
10.85
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vor Biopharma stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vor Biopharma stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.9276
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.088
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0755
SAESum of the absolute errors5.3707
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Vor Biopharma. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Vor Biopharma. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Vor Biopharma

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vor Biopharma. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.0410.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.193.7313.58
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.7211.7913.08
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Vor Biopharma

For every potential investor in Vor, whether a beginner or expert, Vor Biopharma's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vor Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vor Biopharma's price trends.

View Vor Biopharma Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vor Biopharma Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vor Biopharma's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vor Biopharma's current price.

Vor Biopharma Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vor Biopharma stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vor Biopharma shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vor Biopharma stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vor Biopharma entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vor Biopharma Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vor Biopharma's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vor Biopharma's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vor stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Additional Tools for Vor Stock Analysis

When running Vor Biopharma's price analysis, check to measure Vor Biopharma's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vor Biopharma is operating at the current time. Most of Vor Biopharma's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vor Biopharma's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vor Biopharma's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vor Biopharma to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.