AB Volvo Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

VOL1 Stock  EUR 23.47  0.09  0.38%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of AB Volvo on the next trading day is expected to be 23.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.26. VOL1 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of AB Volvo's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for AB Volvo is based on an artificially constructed time series of AB Volvo daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

AB Volvo 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of AB Volvo on the next trading day is expected to be 23.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.26.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VOL1 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AB Volvo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

AB Volvo Stock Forecast Pattern

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AB Volvo Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting AB Volvo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AB Volvo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.63 and 24.92, respectively. We have considered AB Volvo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.47
23.27
Expected Value
24.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AB Volvo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AB Volvo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.0658
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0716
MADMean absolute deviation0.4011
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.017
SAESum of the absolute errors21.2563
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. AB Volvo 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for AB Volvo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AB Volvo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.8223.4725.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.0419.6925.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
22.5823.6624.74
Details

Other Forecasting Options for AB Volvo

For every potential investor in VOL1, whether a beginner or expert, AB Volvo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VOL1 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VOL1. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AB Volvo's price trends.

AB Volvo Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AB Volvo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AB Volvo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AB Volvo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

AB Volvo Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of AB Volvo's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of AB Volvo's current price.

AB Volvo Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AB Volvo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AB Volvo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AB Volvo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AB Volvo entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

AB Volvo Risk Indicators

The analysis of AB Volvo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AB Volvo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vol1 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in VOL1 Stock

AB Volvo financial ratios help investors to determine whether VOL1 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VOL1 with respect to the benefits of owning AB Volvo security.