Viper Energy Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

VNOM Stock  USD 44.64  0.40  0.89%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Viper Energy Ut on the next trading day is expected to be 45.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.89. Viper Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Viper Energy's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Viper Energy's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Viper Energy fundamentals over time.
  
As of the 27th of February 2025, Payables Turnover is likely to grow to 9,774, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 20.78. . As of the 27th of February 2025, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 183.1 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop about 62.3 M.

Open Interest Against 2025-05-16 Viper Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Viper Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Viper Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Viper Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Viper Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to Viper Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Viper Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Viper. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Viper Energy Ut is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Viper Energy 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Viper Energy Ut on the next trading day is expected to be 45.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.14, mean absolute percentage error of 2.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.89.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Viper Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Viper Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Viper Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

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Viper Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Viper Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Viper Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 43.70 and 47.12, respectively. We have considered Viper Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
44.64
45.41
Expected Value
47.12
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Viper Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Viper Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.3323
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.395
MADMean absolute deviation1.1361
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0234
SAESum of the absolute errors65.895
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Viper Energy. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Viper Energy Ut and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Viper Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Viper Energy Ut. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.9344.6446.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.4536.1649.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
44.9148.6652.41
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
52.9158.1464.54
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Viper Energy

For every potential investor in Viper, whether a beginner or expert, Viper Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Viper Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Viper. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Viper Energy's price trends.

Viper Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Viper Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Viper Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Viper Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Viper Energy Ut Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Viper Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Viper Energy's current price.

Viper Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Viper Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Viper Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Viper Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Viper Energy Ut entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Viper Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Viper Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Viper Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting viper stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Viper Energy Ut is a strong investment it is important to analyze Viper Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Viper Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Viper Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Viper Energy to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Viper Energy. If investors know Viper will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Viper Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.925
Dividend Share
2.49
Earnings Share
3.79
Revenue Per Share
9.153
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.175
The market value of Viper Energy Ut is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Viper that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Viper Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Viper Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Viper Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Viper Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Viper Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Viper Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Viper Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.