REX VolMAXX Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

VMAX Etf   48.50  0.20  0.41%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of REX VolMAXX Long on the next trading day is expected to be 50.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.06. REX Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for REX VolMAXX is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of REX VolMAXX Long value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

REX VolMAXX Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of REX VolMAXX Long on the next trading day is expected to be 50.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.06.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict REX Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that REX VolMAXX's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

REX VolMAXX Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest REX VolMAXXREX VolMAXX Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

REX VolMAXX Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting REX VolMAXX's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. REX VolMAXX's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.50 and 51.21, respectively. We have considered REX VolMAXX's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
48.50
50.35
Expected Value
51.21
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of REX VolMAXX etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent REX VolMAXX etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.6959
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.378
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0076
SAESum of the absolute errors23.0569
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of REX VolMAXX Long. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict REX VolMAXX. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for REX VolMAXX

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as REX VolMAXX Long. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47.8548.7049.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.1348.9849.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as REX VolMAXX. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against REX VolMAXX's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, REX VolMAXX's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in REX VolMAXX Long.

Other Forecasting Options for REX VolMAXX

For every potential investor in REX, whether a beginner or expert, REX VolMAXX's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. REX Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in REX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying REX VolMAXX's price trends.

REX VolMAXX Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with REX VolMAXX etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of REX VolMAXX could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing REX VolMAXX by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

REX VolMAXX Long Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of REX VolMAXX's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of REX VolMAXX's current price.

REX VolMAXX Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how REX VolMAXX etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading REX VolMAXX shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying REX VolMAXX etf market strength indicators, traders can identify REX VolMAXX Long entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

REX VolMAXX Risk Indicators

The analysis of REX VolMAXX's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in REX VolMAXX's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rex etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether REX VolMAXX Long offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of REX VolMAXX's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Rex Volmaxx Long Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Rex Volmaxx Long Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of REX VolMAXX to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
The market value of REX VolMAXX Long is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of REX that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of REX VolMAXX's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is REX VolMAXX's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because REX VolMAXX's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect REX VolMAXX's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between REX VolMAXX's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if REX VolMAXX is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, REX VolMAXX's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.