L3HARRIS Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

502431AM1   96.98  1.14  1.16%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES INC on the next trading day is expected to be 96.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.42. L3HARRIS Bond Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast L3HARRIS stock prices and determine the direction of L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES INC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of L3HARRIS's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
L3HARRIS simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES INC are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES INC prices get older.

L3HARRIS Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES INC on the next trading day is expected to be 96.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.42.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict L3HARRIS Bond prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that L3HARRIS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

L3HARRIS Bond Forecast Pattern

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L3HARRIS Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting L3HARRIS's Bond value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. L3HARRIS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 96.63 and 97.33, respectively. We have considered L3HARRIS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
96.98
96.98
Expected Value
97.33
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of L3HARRIS bond data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent L3HARRIS bond, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.7819
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0439
MADMean absolute deviation0.2856
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0029
SAESum of the absolute errors17.42
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES INC forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent L3HARRIS observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for L3HARRIS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.6396.9897.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96.7597.1097.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as L3HARRIS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against L3HARRIS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, L3HARRIS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES INC.

Other Forecasting Options for L3HARRIS

For every potential investor in L3HARRIS, whether a beginner or expert, L3HARRIS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. L3HARRIS Bond price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in L3HARRIS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying L3HARRIS's price trends.

L3HARRIS Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with L3HARRIS bond to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of L3HARRIS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing L3HARRIS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES INC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The bond market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of L3HARRIS's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of L3HARRIS's current price.

L3HARRIS Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how L3HARRIS bond reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading L3HARRIS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying L3HARRIS bond market strength indicators, traders can identify L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES INC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

L3HARRIS Risk Indicators

The analysis of L3HARRIS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in L3HARRIS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting l3harris bond prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios. One of the essential factors to consider when estimating the risk of default for a bond instrument is its duration, which is the bond's price sensitivity to changes in interest rates. The duration of L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES INC bond is primarily affected by its yield, coupon rate, and time to maturity. The duration of a bond will be higher the lower its coupon, lower its yield, and longer the time left to maturity.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in L3HARRIS Bond

L3HARRIS financial ratios help investors to determine whether L3HARRIS Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in L3HARRIS with respect to the benefits of owning L3HARRIS security.