Upland Software Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| UPLD Stock | USD 4.26 0.07 1.62% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Upland Software on the next trading day is expected to be 3.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.01. Upland Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Upland Software stock prices and determine the direction of Upland Software's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Upland Software's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Upland |
Upland Software Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Upland Software's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2013-12-31 | Previous Quarter 232.4 M | Current Value 59.7 M | Quarterly Volatility 94.2 M |
Upland Software Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Upland Software on the next trading day is expected to be 3.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Upland Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Upland Software's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Upland Software Stock Forecast Pattern
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Upland Software Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Upland Software's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Upland Software's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 10.73, respectively. We have considered Upland Software's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Upland Software stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Upland Software stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.9444 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1477 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0438 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.0094 |
Predictive Modules for Upland Software
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Upland Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Upland Software
For every potential investor in Upland, whether a beginner or expert, Upland Software's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Upland Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Upland. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Upland Software's price trends.View Upland Software Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Upland Software Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Upland Software's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Upland Software's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Upland Software Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Upland Software stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Upland Software shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Upland Software stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Upland Software entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Upland Software Risk Indicators
The analysis of Upland Software's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Upland Software's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting upland stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.99 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.87 | |||
| Variance | 47.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 26.51 | |||
| Semi Variance | 21.82 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.53) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Upland Software is a strong investment it is important to analyze Upland Software's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Upland Software's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Upland Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Upland Software to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Upland Stock refer to our How to Trade Upland Stock guide.You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Upland Software. If investors know Upland will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Upland Software listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (4.67) | Revenue Per Share 9.742 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) | Return On Assets (0.02) | Return On Equity (0.65) |
The market value of Upland Software is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Upland that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Upland Software's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Upland Software's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Upland Software's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Upland Software's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Upland Software's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Upland Software is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Upland Software's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.