UFP Industries Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

UF3 Stock  EUR 108.20  2.15  1.95%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of UFP Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 115.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 231.31. UFP Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of UFP Industries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for UFP Industries is based on an artificially constructed time series of UFP Industries daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

UFP Industries 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of UFP Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 115.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.36, mean absolute percentage error of 27.76, and the sum of the absolute errors of 231.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict UFP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that UFP Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

UFP Industries Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest UFP IndustriesUFP Industries Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

UFP Industries Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting UFP Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. UFP Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 113.54 and 117.54, respectively. We have considered UFP Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
108.20
113.54
Downside
115.54
Expected Value
117.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of UFP Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent UFP Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.7311
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.4115
MADMean absolute deviation4.3644
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0365
SAESum of the absolute errors231.3112
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. UFP Industries 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for UFP Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UFP Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
106.20108.20110.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.38113.94115.94
Details

Other Forecasting Options for UFP Industries

For every potential investor in UFP, whether a beginner or expert, UFP Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. UFP Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in UFP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying UFP Industries' price trends.

UFP Industries Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with UFP Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of UFP Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing UFP Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

UFP Industries Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of UFP Industries' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of UFP Industries' current price.

UFP Industries Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how UFP Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading UFP Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying UFP Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify UFP Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

UFP Industries Risk Indicators

The analysis of UFP Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in UFP Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ufp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in UFP Stock

When determining whether UFP Industries offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of UFP Industries' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ufp Industries Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ufp Industries Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of UFP Industries to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in UFP Stock please use our How to Invest in UFP Industries guide.
You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Please note, there is a significant difference between UFP Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UFP Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UFP Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.