Top Wealth Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| TWG Stock | 0.27 0.01 3.57% |
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Top Wealth Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 113.53. Top Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Top Wealth's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
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Top Wealth 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Top Wealth Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.77, mean absolute percentage error of 12.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 113.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Top Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Top Wealth's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Top Wealth Stock Forecast Pattern
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Top Wealth Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Top Wealth's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Top Wealth's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 34.72, respectively. We have considered Top Wealth's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Top Wealth stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Top Wealth stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 83.8408 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3613 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.769 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 3.9998 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 113.5305 |
Predictive Modules for Top Wealth
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Top Wealth Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Top Wealth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Top Wealth
For every potential investor in Top, whether a beginner or expert, Top Wealth's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Top Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Top. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Top Wealth's price trends.Top Wealth Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Top Wealth stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Top Wealth could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Top Wealth by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Top Wealth Group Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Top Wealth's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Top Wealth's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Top Wealth Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Top Wealth stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Top Wealth shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Top Wealth stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Top Wealth Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Top Wealth Risk Indicators
The analysis of Top Wealth's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Top Wealth's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting top stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 15.49 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 17.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 34.08 | |||
| Variance | 1161.35 | |||
| Downside Variance | 434.8 | |||
| Semi Variance | 289.2 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (22.98) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Top Wealth Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Top Wealth's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Top Wealth's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Top Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Top Wealth to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Top Wealth. If investors know Top will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Top Wealth listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.86) | Earnings Share 0.08 | Revenue Per Share 0.628 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.07 | Return On Assets 0.3531 |
The market value of Top Wealth Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Top that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Top Wealth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Top Wealth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Top Wealth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Top Wealth's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Top Wealth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Top Wealth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Top Wealth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.