Top Wealth Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 34.72

TWG Stock   0.27  0.01  3.57%   
Top Wealth's future price is the expected price of Top Wealth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Top Wealth Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Top Wealth Backtesting, Top Wealth Valuation, Top Wealth Correlation, Top Wealth Hype Analysis, Top Wealth Volatility, Top Wealth History as well as Top Wealth Performance.
  
At this time, Top Wealth's Price To Book Ratio is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Top Wealth's current Price Fair Value is estimated to increase to 11.11, while Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to decrease to 0.02. Please specify Top Wealth's target price for which you would like Top Wealth odds to be computed.

Top Wealth Target Price Odds to finish over 34.72

The tendency of Top Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  34.72  or more in 90 days
 0.27 90 days 34.72 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Top Wealth to move over  34.72  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Top Wealth Group probability density function shows the probability of Top Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Top Wealth Group price to stay between its current price of  0.27  and  34.72  at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.46 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 6.79 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Top Wealth will likely underperform. In addition to that Top Wealth Group has an alpha of 3.8132, implying that it can generate a 3.81 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Top Wealth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Top Wealth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Top Wealth Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Top Wealth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.2234.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.2534.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.4435.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.410.420.44
Details

Top Wealth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Top Wealth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Top Wealth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Top Wealth Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Top Wealth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
3.81
β
Beta against Dow Jones6.79
σ
Overall volatility
2.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Top Wealth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Top Wealth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Top Wealth Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Top Wealth Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Top Wealth Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Top Wealth Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Top Wealth generates negative cash flow from operations
Top Wealth Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Forbes Americas Top Wealth Management Teams Private Wealth 2024 List - Forbes

Top Wealth Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Top Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Top Wealth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Top Wealth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27 M
Cash And Short Term Investments134.3 K

Top Wealth Technical Analysis

Top Wealth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Top Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Top Wealth Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Top Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Top Wealth Predictive Forecast Models

Top Wealth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Top Wealth's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Top Wealth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Top Wealth Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Top Wealth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Top Wealth Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Top Wealth Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Top Wealth Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Top Wealth Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Top Wealth generates negative cash flow from operations
Top Wealth Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Forbes Americas Top Wealth Management Teams Private Wealth 2024 List - Forbes
When determining whether Top Wealth Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Top Wealth's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Top Wealth's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Top Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Top Wealth Backtesting, Top Wealth Valuation, Top Wealth Correlation, Top Wealth Hype Analysis, Top Wealth Volatility, Top Wealth History as well as Top Wealth Performance.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Top Wealth. If investors know Top will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Top Wealth listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.86)
Earnings Share
0.08
Revenue Per Share
0.628
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.07
Return On Assets
0.3531
The market value of Top Wealth Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Top that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Top Wealth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Top Wealth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Top Wealth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Top Wealth's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Top Wealth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Top Wealth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Top Wealth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.