Trade Desk Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

TT8 Stock  EUR 119.54  1.98  1.63%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Trade Desk on the next trading day is expected to be 119.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 124.05. Trade Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Trade Desk's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Trade Desk works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Trade Desk Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Trade Desk on the next trading day is expected to be 119.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.10, mean absolute percentage error of 8.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 124.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Trade Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Trade Desk's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Trade Desk Stock Forecast Pattern

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Trade Desk Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Trade Desk's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Trade Desk's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 116.98 and 121.58, respectively. We have considered Trade Desk's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
119.54
116.98
Downside
119.28
Expected Value
121.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Trade Desk stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Trade Desk stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.6253
MADMean absolute deviation2.1025
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0178
SAESum of the absolute errors124.05
When The Trade Desk prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any The Trade Desk trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Trade Desk observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Trade Desk

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trade Desk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
117.26119.54121.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
107.59138.54140.82
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Trade Desk

For every potential investor in Trade, whether a beginner or expert, Trade Desk's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Trade Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Trade. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Trade Desk's price trends.

Trade Desk Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Trade Desk stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Trade Desk could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Trade Desk by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Trade Desk Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Trade Desk's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Trade Desk's current price.

Trade Desk Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Trade Desk stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Trade Desk shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Trade Desk stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Trade Desk entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Trade Desk Risk Indicators

The analysis of Trade Desk's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Trade Desk's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting trade stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Trade Stock

Trade Desk financial ratios help investors to determine whether Trade Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Trade with respect to the benefits of owning Trade Desk security.