TR Property Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

TRY Stock   293.50  1.50  0.51%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TR Property Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 293.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 165.93. TRY Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast TR Property stock prices and determine the direction of TR Property Investment's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TR Property's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, TR Property's Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 12.1 K, whereas Total Stockholder Equity is forecasted to decline to about 864.7 M.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for TR Property works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

TR Property Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TR Property Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 293.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.77, mean absolute percentage error of 15.79, and the sum of the absolute errors of 165.93.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TRY Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TR Property's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TR Property Stock Forecast Pattern

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TR Property Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TR Property's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TR Property's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 292.08 and 294.58, respectively. We have considered TR Property's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
293.50
292.08
Downside
293.33
Expected Value
294.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TR Property stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TR Property stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.6411
MADMean absolute deviation2.7655
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0092
SAESum of the absolute errors165.9286
When TR Property Investment prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any TR Property Investment trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent TR Property observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for TR Property

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TR Property Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
292.25293.50294.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
292.25293.50294.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
291.57294.46297.35
Details

Other Forecasting Options for TR Property

For every potential investor in TRY, whether a beginner or expert, TR Property's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TRY Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TRY. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TR Property's price trends.

TR Property Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TR Property stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TR Property could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TR Property by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TR Property Investment Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TR Property's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TR Property's current price.

TR Property Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TR Property stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TR Property shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TR Property stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TR Property Investment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TR Property Risk Indicators

The analysis of TR Property's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TR Property's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting try stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in TRY Stock

TR Property financial ratios help investors to determine whether TRY Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TRY with respect to the benefits of owning TR Property security.