TPX Old Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

TPXDelisted Stock  USD 68.78  0.18  0.26%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of TPX Old on the next trading day is expected to be 68.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.50. TPX Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for TPX Old is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

TPX Old 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of TPX Old on the next trading day is expected to be 68.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13, mean absolute percentage error of 2.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TPX Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TPX Old's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TPX Old Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest TPX OldTPX Old Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TPX Old stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TPX Old stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.6014
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.6407
MADMean absolute deviation1.1316
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0187
SAESum of the absolute errors64.5
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of TPX Old. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for TPX Old and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for TPX Old

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TPX Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.4969.4171.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.4055.3275.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
56.1663.2170.27
Details

TPX Old Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TPX Old stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TPX Old could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TPX Old by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TPX Old Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TPX Old stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TPX Old shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TPX Old stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TPX Old entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TPX Old Risk Indicators

The analysis of TPX Old's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TPX Old's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tpx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

Other Consideration for investing in TPX Stock

If you are still planning to invest in TPX Old check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the TPX Old's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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