PVA TePla Pink Sheet Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

TPLKF Stock  USD 14.46  1.64  12.79%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of PVA TePla AG on the next trading day is expected to be 12.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.00. PVA Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PVA TePla's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for PVA TePla AG is based on a synthetically constructed PVA TePladaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

PVA TePla 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 21st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of PVA TePla AG on the next trading day is expected to be 12.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95, mean absolute percentage error of 2.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PVA Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PVA TePla's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PVA TePla Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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PVA TePla Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PVA TePla's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PVA TePla's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.89 and 16.08, respectively. We have considered PVA TePla's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.46
12.98
Expected Value
16.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PVA TePla pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PVA TePla pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria82.1229
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.7953
MADMean absolute deviation0.9513
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0735
SAESum of the absolute errors39.003
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. PVA TePla AG 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for PVA TePla

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PVA TePla AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.3614.4617.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.3914.4917.59
Details

Other Forecasting Options for PVA TePla

For every potential investor in PVA, whether a beginner or expert, PVA TePla's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PVA Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PVA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PVA TePla's price trends.

PVA TePla Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PVA TePla pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PVA TePla could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PVA TePla by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PVA TePla AG Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PVA TePla's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PVA TePla's current price.

PVA TePla Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PVA TePla pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PVA TePla shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PVA TePla pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify PVA TePla AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PVA TePla Risk Indicators

The analysis of PVA TePla's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PVA TePla's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pva pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in PVA Pink Sheet

PVA TePla financial ratios help investors to determine whether PVA Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PVA with respect to the benefits of owning PVA TePla security.