TNL Mediagene Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| TNMG Stock | 6.30 0.22 3.62% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of TNL Mediagene Ordinary on the next trading day is expected to be 7.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.77. TNL Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TNL Mediagene's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
TNL |
TNL Mediagene Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of TNL Mediagene Ordinary on the next trading day is expected to be 7.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82, mean absolute percentage error of 1.63, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.77.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TNL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TNL Mediagene's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TNL Mediagene Stock Forecast Pattern
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TNL Mediagene Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TNL Mediagene's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TNL Mediagene's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.06 and 18.92, respectively. We have considered TNL Mediagene's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TNL Mediagene stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TNL Mediagene stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.602 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8159 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0833 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 49.7718 |
Predictive Modules for TNL Mediagene
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TNL Mediagene Ordinary. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for TNL Mediagene
For every potential investor in TNL, whether a beginner or expert, TNL Mediagene's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TNL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TNL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TNL Mediagene's price trends.TNL Mediagene Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TNL Mediagene stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TNL Mediagene could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TNL Mediagene by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TNL Mediagene Ordinary Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TNL Mediagene's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TNL Mediagene's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
TNL Mediagene Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TNL Mediagene stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TNL Mediagene shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TNL Mediagene stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TNL Mediagene Ordinary entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
TNL Mediagene Risk Indicators
The analysis of TNL Mediagene's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TNL Mediagene's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tnl stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 11.15 | |||
| Variance | 124.35 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TNL Mediagene to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Business Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TNL Mediagene. If investors know TNL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TNL Mediagene listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of TNL Mediagene Ordinary is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TNL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TNL Mediagene's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TNL Mediagene's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TNL Mediagene's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TNL Mediagene's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TNL Mediagene's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TNL Mediagene is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TNL Mediagene's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.