Storskogen Group Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

STOR-B Stock   11.57  0.43  3.86%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Storskogen Group AB on the next trading day is expected to be 11.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.83. Storskogen Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Storskogen Group stock prices and determine the direction of Storskogen Group AB's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Storskogen Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Storskogen Group AB is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Storskogen Group 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Storskogen Group AB on the next trading day is expected to be 11.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.83.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Storskogen Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Storskogen Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Storskogen Group Stock Forecast Pattern

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Storskogen Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Storskogen Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Storskogen Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.19 and 14.59, respectively. We have considered Storskogen Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.57
11.39
Expected Value
14.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Storskogen Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Storskogen Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.0839
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0641
MADMean absolute deviation0.2954
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0297
SAESum of the absolute errors16.835
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Storskogen Group. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Storskogen Group AB and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Storskogen Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Storskogen Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.3711.5714.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.6110.8114.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9.7810.6311.48
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Storskogen Group

For every potential investor in Storskogen, whether a beginner or expert, Storskogen Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Storskogen Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Storskogen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Storskogen Group's price trends.

Storskogen Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Storskogen Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Storskogen Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Storskogen Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Storskogen Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Storskogen Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Storskogen Group's current price.

Storskogen Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Storskogen Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Storskogen Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Storskogen Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Storskogen Group AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Storskogen Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Storskogen Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Storskogen Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting storskogen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Storskogen Stock

Storskogen Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Storskogen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Storskogen with respect to the benefits of owning Storskogen Group security.