Stolt Nielsen Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SOIEF Stock  USD 26.02  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Stolt Nielsen Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 26.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.19. Stolt Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Stolt Nielsen's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Stolt Nielsen - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Stolt Nielsen prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Stolt Nielsen price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Stolt Nielsen Limited.

Stolt Nielsen Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Stolt Nielsen Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 26.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77, mean absolute percentage error of 1.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stolt Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stolt Nielsen's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Stolt Nielsen Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Stolt Nielsen Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Stolt Nielsen's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Stolt Nielsen's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.62 and 30.37, respectively. We have considered Stolt Nielsen's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.02
26.00
Expected Value
30.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stolt Nielsen pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stolt Nielsen pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2332
MADMean absolute deviation0.7659
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0283
SAESum of the absolute errors45.1902
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Stolt Nielsen observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Stolt Nielsen Limited observations.

Predictive Modules for Stolt Nielsen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stolt Nielsen Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stolt Nielsen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.6426.0230.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.7323.1127.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
22.6927.4832.27
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Stolt Nielsen

For every potential investor in Stolt, whether a beginner or expert, Stolt Nielsen's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Stolt Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Stolt. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Stolt Nielsen's price trends.

Stolt Nielsen Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Stolt Nielsen pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Stolt Nielsen could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Stolt Nielsen by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Stolt Nielsen Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Stolt Nielsen's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Stolt Nielsen's current price.

Stolt Nielsen Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Stolt Nielsen pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Stolt Nielsen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Stolt Nielsen pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Stolt Nielsen Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Stolt Nielsen Risk Indicators

The analysis of Stolt Nielsen's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Stolt Nielsen's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stolt pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Stolt Pink Sheet

Stolt Nielsen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Stolt Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Stolt with respect to the benefits of owning Stolt Nielsen security.