SNC Lavalin Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

SNCAF Stock  USD 50.37  0.65  1.27%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SNC Lavalin Group on the next trading day is expected to be 50.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.59. SNC Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SNC Lavalin's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for SNC Lavalin works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

SNC Lavalin Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of January 2025

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SNC Lavalin Group on the next trading day is expected to be 50.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79, mean absolute percentage error of 1.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.59.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SNC Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SNC Lavalin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SNC Lavalin Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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SNC Lavalin Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SNC Lavalin's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SNC Lavalin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 47.58 and 52.83, respectively. We have considered SNC Lavalin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
50.37
50.20
Expected Value
52.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SNC Lavalin pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SNC Lavalin pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2632
MADMean absolute deviation0.7897
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0155
SAESum of the absolute errors46.5914
When SNC Lavalin Group prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any SNC Lavalin Group trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent SNC Lavalin observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for SNC Lavalin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SNC Lavalin Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47.7550.3752.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.3358.9861.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
50.3851.8953.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SNC Lavalin. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SNC Lavalin's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SNC Lavalin's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SNC Lavalin Group.

Other Forecasting Options for SNC Lavalin

For every potential investor in SNC, whether a beginner or expert, SNC Lavalin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SNC Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SNC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SNC Lavalin's price trends.

SNC Lavalin Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SNC Lavalin pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SNC Lavalin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SNC Lavalin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SNC Lavalin Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SNC Lavalin's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SNC Lavalin's current price.

SNC Lavalin Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SNC Lavalin pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SNC Lavalin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SNC Lavalin pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify SNC Lavalin Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SNC Lavalin Risk Indicators

The analysis of SNC Lavalin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SNC Lavalin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting snc pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in SNC Pink Sheet

SNC Lavalin financial ratios help investors to determine whether SNC Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SNC with respect to the benefits of owning SNC Lavalin security.