Siemens AG Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

SMAWF Stock  USD 253.83  1.45  0.57%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Siemens AG Class on the next trading day is expected to be 255.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 334.46. Siemens Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Siemens AG's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Siemens AG price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Siemens AG Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 22nd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Siemens AG Class on the next trading day is expected to be 255.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.39, mean absolute percentage error of 43.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 334.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Siemens Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Siemens AG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Siemens AG Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Siemens AG Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Siemens AG's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Siemens AG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 252.44 and 257.57, respectively. We have considered Siemens AG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
253.83
252.44
Downside
255.00
Expected Value
257.57
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Siemens AG pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Siemens AG pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.7217
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation5.3946
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0245
SAESum of the absolute errors334.4643
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Siemens AG Class historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Siemens AG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Siemens AG Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Siemens AG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
251.27253.83256.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
228.45282.89285.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
220.65243.55266.44
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Siemens AG

For every potential investor in Siemens, whether a beginner or expert, Siemens AG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Siemens Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Siemens. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Siemens AG's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Siemens AG Class Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Siemens AG's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Siemens AG's current price.

Siemens AG Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Siemens AG pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Siemens AG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Siemens AG pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Siemens AG Class entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Siemens AG Risk Indicators

The analysis of Siemens AG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Siemens AG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting siemens pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Siemens Pink Sheet

Siemens AG financial ratios help investors to determine whether Siemens Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Siemens with respect to the benefits of owning Siemens AG security.