Seach Medical Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

SEMG Stock  ILA 329.10  1.70  0.51%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Seach Medical Group on the next trading day is expected to be 332.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 484.84. Seach Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Seach Medical stock prices and determine the direction of Seach Medical Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Seach Medical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Seach Medical polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Seach Medical Group as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Seach Medical Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Seach Medical Group on the next trading day is expected to be 332.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.95, mean absolute percentage error of 96.82, and the sum of the absolute errors of 484.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Seach Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Seach Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Seach Medical Stock Forecast Pattern

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Seach Medical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Seach Medical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Seach Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 329.63 and 334.73, respectively. We have considered Seach Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
329.10
329.63
Downside
332.18
Expected Value
334.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Seach Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Seach Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.6834
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation7.9481
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0252
SAESum of the absolute errors484.8365
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Seach Medical historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Seach Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seach Medical Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
326.55329.10331.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
267.26269.81362.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
304.90328.74352.58
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Seach Medical

For every potential investor in Seach, whether a beginner or expert, Seach Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Seach Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Seach. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Seach Medical's price trends.

Seach Medical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Seach Medical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Seach Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Seach Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Seach Medical Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Seach Medical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Seach Medical's current price.

Seach Medical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Seach Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Seach Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Seach Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Seach Medical Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Seach Medical Risk Indicators

The analysis of Seach Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Seach Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting seach stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Seach Stock

Seach Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Seach Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Seach with respect to the benefits of owning Seach Medical security.