Lmp Capital Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

SCD Fund  USD 17.58  0.11  0.62%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lmp Capital And on the next trading day is expected to be 17.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.47. Lmp Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lmp Capital stock prices and determine the direction of Lmp Capital And's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lmp Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Lmp Capital simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Lmp Capital And are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Lmp Capital And prices get older.

Lmp Capital Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lmp Capital And on the next trading day is expected to be 17.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lmp Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lmp Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lmp Capital Fund Forecast Pattern

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Lmp Capital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lmp Capital's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lmp Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.61 and 18.55, respectively. We have considered Lmp Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17.58
17.58
Expected Value
18.55
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lmp Capital fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lmp Capital fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.5969
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0098
MADMean absolute deviation0.1245
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0072
SAESum of the absolute errors7.47
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Lmp Capital And forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Lmp Capital observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Lmp Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lmp Capital And. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lmp Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.6117.5818.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.6717.6418.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.3417.6317.93
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Lmp Capital

For every potential investor in Lmp, whether a beginner or expert, Lmp Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lmp Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lmp. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lmp Capital's price trends.

Lmp Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lmp Capital fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lmp Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lmp Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lmp Capital And Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lmp Capital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lmp Capital's current price.

Lmp Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lmp Capital fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lmp Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lmp Capital fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Lmp Capital And entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lmp Capital Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lmp Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lmp Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lmp fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Lmp Fund

Lmp Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lmp Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lmp with respect to the benefits of owning Lmp Capital security.
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