Oeneo SA Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

SBT Stock  EUR 9.68  0.06  0.62%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Oeneo SA on the next trading day is expected to be 9.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.98. Oeneo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Oeneo SA stock prices and determine the direction of Oeneo SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Oeneo SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Oeneo SA is based on a synthetically constructed Oeneo SAdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Oeneo SA 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Oeneo SA on the next trading day is expected to be 9.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oeneo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oeneo SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Oeneo SA Stock Forecast Pattern

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Oeneo SA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Oeneo SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Oeneo SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.51 and 10.65, respectively. We have considered Oeneo SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.68
9.58
Expected Value
10.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oeneo SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oeneo SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria77.8543
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0556
MADMean absolute deviation0.146
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0152
SAESum of the absolute errors5.984
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Oeneo SA 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Oeneo SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oeneo SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.619.6810.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.449.5110.58
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Oeneo SA

For every potential investor in Oeneo, whether a beginner or expert, Oeneo SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Oeneo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Oeneo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Oeneo SA's price trends.

Oeneo SA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Oeneo SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Oeneo SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oeneo SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Oeneo SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Oeneo SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Oeneo SA's current price.

Oeneo SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Oeneo SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Oeneo SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Oeneo SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Oeneo SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Oeneo SA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Oeneo SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oeneo SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oeneo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Oeneo Stock

Oeneo SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oeneo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oeneo with respect to the benefits of owning Oeneo SA security.