Southern BancShares Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Triple exponential smoothing for Southern BancShares - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Southern BancShares prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Southern BancShares price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Southern BancShares.

Southern BancShares Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Southern BancShares NC on the next trading day is expected to be 8,172 with a mean absolute deviation of 84.52, mean absolute percentage error of 18,978, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,987.

Southern BancShares Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Southern BancShares Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Southern BancShares pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Southern BancShares pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Southern BancShares observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Southern BancShares NC observations.

Predictive Modules for Southern BancShares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southern BancShares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 8,148 8,150 8,152 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 7,335 9,003 9,005 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 6,986 7,595 8,204 Details

Other Forecasting Options for Southern BancShares

For every potential investor in Southern, whether a beginner or expert, Southern BancShares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Southern Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Southern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Southern BancShares' price trends.

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Correlation

Southern BancShares Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Southern BancShares' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Southern BancShares' current price.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

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