Sparta Capital Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

SAY Stock  CAD 0.02  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sparta Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Sparta Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Sparta Capital works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Sparta Capital Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sparta Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sparta Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sparta Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sparta Capital Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sparta CapitalSparta Capital Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Sparta Capital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sparta Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sparta Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 0.02, respectively. We have considered Sparta Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.02
0.02
Expected Value
0.02
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sparta Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sparta Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
When Sparta Capital prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Sparta Capital trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Sparta Capital observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Sparta Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sparta Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.020.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.020.02
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Sparta Capital

For every potential investor in Sparta, whether a beginner or expert, Sparta Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sparta Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sparta. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sparta Capital's price trends.

Sparta Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sparta Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sparta Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sparta Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sparta Capital Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sparta Capital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sparta Capital's current price.

Sparta Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sparta Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sparta Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sparta Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sparta Capital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for Sparta Stock Analysis

When running Sparta Capital's price analysis, check to measure Sparta Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sparta Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Sparta Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sparta Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sparta Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sparta Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.