Sandvik AB Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| SAND Stock | SEK 201.70 0.50 0.25% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sandvik AB on the next trading day is expected to be 201.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 135.02. Sandvik Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
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Sandvik AB Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sandvik AB on the next trading day is expected to be 201.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.29, mean absolute percentage error of 9.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 135.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sandvik Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sandvik AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sandvik AB Stock Forecast Pattern
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Sandvik AB Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sandvik AB's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sandvik AB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 199.89 and 202.80, respectively. We have considered Sandvik AB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sandvik AB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sandvik AB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3454 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.2885 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0107 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 135.0237 |
Predictive Modules for Sandvik AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sandvik AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Sandvik AB
For every potential investor in Sandvik, whether a beginner or expert, Sandvik AB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sandvik Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sandvik. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sandvik AB's price trends.Sandvik AB Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sandvik AB stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sandvik AB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sandvik AB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sandvik AB Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sandvik AB's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sandvik AB's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Sandvik AB Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sandvik AB stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sandvik AB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sandvik AB stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sandvik AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sandvik AB Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sandvik AB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sandvik AB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sandvik stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Variance | 2.12 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Sandvik Stock Analysis
When running Sandvik AB's price analysis, check to measure Sandvik AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sandvik AB is operating at the current time. Most of Sandvik AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sandvik AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sandvik AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sandvik AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.