Sampath Bank Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

SAMPN0000  LKR 120.75  1.75  1.43%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Sampath Bank PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 120.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 171.22. Sampath Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sampath Bank stock prices and determine the direction of Sampath Bank PLC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sampath Bank's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Sampath Bank PLC is based on a synthetically constructed Sampath Bankdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Sampath Bank 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Sampath Bank PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 120.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.08, mean absolute percentage error of 29.89, and the sum of the absolute errors of 171.22.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sampath Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sampath Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sampath Bank Stock Forecast Pattern

Sampath Bank Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sampath Bank's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sampath Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 118.74 and 121.86, respectively. We have considered Sampath Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
120.75
118.74
Downside
120.30
Expected Value
121.86
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sampath Bank stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sampath Bank stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria86.5885
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -3.6433
MADMean absolute deviation4.0767
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0342
SAESum of the absolute errors171.22
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Sampath Bank PLC 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Sampath Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sampath Bank PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
120.96122.50124.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
110.25129.59131.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
98.82114.59130.36
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Sampath Bank

For every potential investor in Sampath, whether a beginner or expert, Sampath Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sampath Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sampath. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sampath Bank's price trends.

Sampath Bank Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sampath Bank stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sampath Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sampath Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sampath Bank PLC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sampath Bank's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sampath Bank's current price.

Sampath Bank Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sampath Bank stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sampath Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sampath Bank stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sampath Bank PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sampath Bank Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sampath Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sampath Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sampath stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Sampath Stock

Sampath Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sampath Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sampath with respect to the benefits of owning Sampath Bank security.