SUPER GROUP Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

S8G1 Stock  EUR 1.52  0.02  1.33%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of SUPER GROUP LTD on the next trading day is expected to be 1.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.63. SUPER Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SUPER GROUP's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for SUPER GROUP is based on an artificially constructed time series of SUPER GROUP daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

SUPER GROUP 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of SUPER GROUP LTD on the next trading day is expected to be 1.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SUPER Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SUPER GROUP's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SUPER GROUP Stock Forecast Pattern

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SUPER GROUP Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SUPER GROUP's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SUPER GROUP's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 13.44, respectively. We have considered SUPER GROUP's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.52
1.51
Expected Value
13.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SUPER GROUP stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SUPER GROUP stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria98.1831
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0292
MADMean absolute deviation0.0497
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.036
SAESum of the absolute errors2.6325
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. SUPER GROUP LTD 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for SUPER GROUP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SUPER GROUP LTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.5213.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.5813.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for SUPER GROUP

For every potential investor in SUPER, whether a beginner or expert, SUPER GROUP's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SUPER Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SUPER. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SUPER GROUP's price trends.

SUPER GROUP Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SUPER GROUP stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SUPER GROUP could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SUPER GROUP by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SUPER GROUP LTD Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SUPER GROUP's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SUPER GROUP's current price.

SUPER GROUP Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SUPER GROUP stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SUPER GROUP shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SUPER GROUP stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SUPER GROUP LTD entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SUPER GROUP Risk Indicators

The analysis of SUPER GROUP's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SUPER GROUP's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting super stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in SUPER Stock

SUPER GROUP financial ratios help investors to determine whether SUPER Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SUPER with respect to the benefits of owning SUPER GROUP security.