RWE AG Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

RWE Stock  EUR 28.44  0.23  0.82%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of RWE AG on the next trading day is expected to be 30.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.94. RWE Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of RWE AG's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for RWE AG is based on a synthetically constructed RWE AGdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

RWE AG 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of RWE AG on the next trading day is expected to be 30.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00, mean absolute percentage error of 1.47, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RWE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RWE AG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

RWE AG Stock Forecast Pattern

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RWE AG Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting RWE AG's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RWE AG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.74 and 31.36, respectively. We have considered RWE AG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
28.44
30.05
Expected Value
31.36
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RWE AG stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RWE AG stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria81.7404
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.4898
MADMean absolute deviation0.9984
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0335
SAESum of the absolute errors40.9355
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. RWE AG 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for RWE AG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RWE AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.1328.4429.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.0629.3730.68
Details

Other Forecasting Options for RWE AG

For every potential investor in RWE, whether a beginner or expert, RWE AG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RWE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RWE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RWE AG's price trends.

RWE AG Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RWE AG stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RWE AG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RWE AG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

RWE AG Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of RWE AG's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of RWE AG's current price.

RWE AG Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RWE AG stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RWE AG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RWE AG stock market strength indicators, traders can identify RWE AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

RWE AG Risk Indicators

The analysis of RWE AG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RWE AG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rwe stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in RWE Stock

RWE AG financial ratios help investors to determine whether RWE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RWE with respect to the benefits of owning RWE AG security.