Rockwell Medical Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

RMTI Stock  USD 2.29  0.07  3.15%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Rockwell Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 2.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.57. Rockwell Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rockwell Medical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Rockwell Medical's Fixed Asset Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Rockwell Medical's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 1.76, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 9.82. . The Rockwell Medical's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 24.5 M, while Net Loss is projected to decrease to (17.7 M).
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Rockwell Medical is based on a synthetically constructed Rockwell Medicaldaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Rockwell Medical 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Rockwell Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 2.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57, mean absolute percentage error of 0.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.57.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rockwell Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rockwell Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Rockwell Medical Stock Forecast Pattern

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Rockwell Medical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Rockwell Medical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rockwell Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 9.81, respectively. We have considered Rockwell Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.29
2.93
Expected Value
9.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rockwell Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rockwell Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria80.6604
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.3321
MADMean absolute deviation0.5749
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.2099
SAESum of the absolute errors23.571
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Rockwell Medical 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Rockwell Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rockwell Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rockwell Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.269.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.183.6610.54
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.288.008.88
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Rockwell Medical

For every potential investor in Rockwell, whether a beginner or expert, Rockwell Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rockwell Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rockwell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rockwell Medical's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Rockwell Medical Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Rockwell Medical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Rockwell Medical's current price.

Rockwell Medical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rockwell Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rockwell Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rockwell Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rockwell Medical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Rockwell Medical Risk Indicators

The analysis of Rockwell Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rockwell Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rockwell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Rockwell Medical offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Rockwell Medical's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Rockwell Medical Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Rockwell Medical Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rockwell Medical to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Rockwell Stock please use our How to Invest in Rockwell Medical guide.
You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rockwell Medical. If investors know Rockwell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rockwell Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.04)
Revenue Per Share
3.041
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.429
Return On Assets
(0.04)
Return On Equity
(0.29)
The market value of Rockwell Medical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rockwell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rockwell Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rockwell Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rockwell Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rockwell Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rockwell Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rockwell Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rockwell Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.