Roper Technologies, Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

R1OP34 Stock  BRL 333.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Roper Technologies, on the next trading day is expected to be 333.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.82. Roper Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Roper Technologies, stock prices and determine the direction of Roper Technologies,'s future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Roper Technologies,'s historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Roper Technologies, works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Roper Technologies, Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Roper Technologies, on the next trading day is expected to be 333.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90, mean absolute percentage error of 22.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.82.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Roper Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Roper Technologies,'s next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Roper Technologies, Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Roper Technologies,Roper Technologies, Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Roper Technologies, Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Roper Technologies,'s Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Roper Technologies,'s downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 331.67 and 334.89, respectively. We have considered Roper Technologies,'s daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
333.00
331.67
Downside
333.28
Expected Value
334.89
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Roper Technologies, stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Roper Technologies, stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.342
MADMean absolute deviation0.8953
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0028
SAESum of the absolute errors52.82
When Roper Technologies, prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Roper Technologies, trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Roper Technologies, observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Roper Technologies,

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roper Technologies,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
331.39333.00334.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
322.15323.76366.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Roper Technologies,. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Roper Technologies,'s peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Roper Technologies,'s competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Roper Technologies,.

Other Forecasting Options for Roper Technologies,

For every potential investor in Roper, whether a beginner or expert, Roper Technologies,'s price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Roper Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Roper. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Roper Technologies,'s price trends.

Roper Technologies, Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Roper Technologies, stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Roper Technologies, could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Roper Technologies, by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Roper Technologies, Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Roper Technologies,'s price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Roper Technologies,'s current price.

Roper Technologies, Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Roper Technologies, stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Roper Technologies, shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Roper Technologies, stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Roper Technologies, entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Roper Technologies, Risk Indicators

The analysis of Roper Technologies,'s basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Roper Technologies,'s investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting roper stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Roper Stock

When determining whether Roper Technologies, is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Roper Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Roper Technologies, Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Roper Technologies, Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Roper Technologies, to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Roper Stock refer to our How to Trade Roper Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Roper Technologies,'s value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Roper Technologies, is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Roper Technologies,'s price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.